The yuan is feeling a strong influence caused by the return of Donald Trump to the US political arena. Negative expectations in the market arose due to Trump’s programs to increase trade tariffs on Chinese goods.
These fears are reinforced not only by speculators, but also by the actions of exporters themselves, who prefer to stock up on dollars in anticipation of possible trade conflicts.
The yuan showed a slowdown in growth and decline in early 2023, influenced by the unstable economic situation in China and weak demand. In this regard, the stock markets of the Middle Kingdom face uncertainty, since Beijing’s large-scale plans to stimulate the economy may be under threat if Trump wins.
In three weeks, the yuan fell by about 1.5%, which was the sharpest drop in the last year. Analysts believe that further weakening of the yuan is expected in the coming months if Donald Trump returns to power and Republicans gain control of Congress.
Also, a decrease in bond yields in China has a negative impact on the yuan, which increases the outflow of capital abroad. In this regard, the Chinese authorities may use the weak yuan as a tool to support exports.